Six months out from the next Gainesville City Commission election, and we already have four candidates for the at-large race. And they have all filed in the past week or so. There are also two names filed for the District 1 contest.
In District 1 we have Yvonne Hinson-Rawls, a sub-committee chair on the Alachua County Democrat Executive Committee, versus Armando Grundy, who most recently served on the county’s Charter Review Commission. This District represents East Gainesville and has been most recently served by Chuck Chestnut, followed by Sherwin Henry. Both men ran unopposed for their second term, and were then term-limited out of office.
In the at-large race, which represents the entire City of Gainesville, we have Darlene Pifalo, a Realtor with a history of serving on state and local boards to promote affordable housing; Donna Lutz, another Realtor I know little about; James Ingle, recent candidate for the District 2 seat on the commission who had union support; and Lauren Poe, who just got voted off the City Commission by Todd Chase.
Gainesville City Commission races are notoriously sleepy affairs with very, very low voter turnout. There will be the predictable but meaningless bellyaching about how these elections should be held in November instead of March, BUT THIS IS JUST HOW IT IS! It is so easy to vote now, we have no excuse.
That said, unless there is an epic revival of citizenship, Hinson-Rawls will defeat Grundy. She is the approved Democrat being run by the machine. Although Grundy is also a Democrat, he has been a Republican and is a bit of a maverick.
The at-large race will be a Pifalo-Poe runoff. Poe is the machine Democrat, Ingle is a populist Democrat, and populists are not reliable voters. That’s why there is no “populist machine”. Lutz will finish last. She is a first timer who will be needing support from Pifalo’s base, and that will not be happening. Poe lost in District 2, but did so respectably. If he keeps it close in that, the most conservative, district, he will take 1, 3 and 4 handily. That will make him the overall winner in April.
All of this could change if you, the voters, start connecting the dots between the people you elect and your cost of living and your lack of opportunity.